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USA-CHINA-RUSSIA / USA-ECUADOR-CHILE

Carnegie Center (Moscow) wrote -one year ago- about the Western perspective on Russia as a supposed-to-be bridge between the European Union and China:


Alexander Gabuev started his article with these words: "The emergence of a Pax Sinica including Russia could draw new dividing lines over Eurasia".


Russia was supposed to be the bridge with China, but now, it turns out to be quite the opposite.


Europe has historical problems of territorial governance. During World War I and II, Russia had to work together with the United States and China to create peace in Europe. Now Germany has bought USA´s aircraft for delivering nuclear power for the protection of the European Union, and Russia is asking China for providing more power for conquering the last candidate to become part of the EU: Ukraine.


According to Nikkei-Asia, the USA has asked China to avoid entering in that game:https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Ukraine-war/In-7-hour-talks-U.S.-raises-concerns-about-China-aligning-with-Russia

"PARIS/WASHINGTON -- U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan raised concerns Monday about Chinese cooperation with the Russian invasion of Ukraine in a seven-hour meeting in Rome with China's top diplomat, Yang Jiechi. Sullivan's meeting with Yang, the first meeting of the two in five months, followed reports that Russia has asked China for military equipment and for additional economic assistance to counteract the sanctions. The Financial Times reported that the list of items Russia had asked for included surface-to-air missiles, drones, intelligence-related equipment and armored vehicles."It was an intense seven-hour session reflecting the gravity of the moment, as well as our commitment to maintaining open lines of communication," a senior U.S. administration official told reporters after the meeting. "I'm just going to reiterate that we do have deep concerns about China's alignment with Russia at this time, and the national security adviser was direct about those concerns and the potential implications and consequences of certain actions." The official said the meeting had been planned for months and was not necessarily an emergency meetup to discuss the situation in Ukraine. The official declined to comment on whether Russia had requested military or financial assistance from China, or if any assistance been provided by Beijing to Russia since the invasion of Ukraine started. Sullivan "raised a range of issues in U.S.-China relations, with substantial discussion of Russia's war against Ukraine," the White House said in a readout. "They also underscored the importance of maintaining open lines of communication between the United States and China." Yang told Sullivan the Chinese side had not wanted the situation in Ukraine to "come to this point," according to China's Xinhua News Agency. China always stands for respecting the sovereignty and territorial integrity of all countries, the Politburo member said, and called on the international community "to jointly support the Russia-Ukraine peace talks so that substantive results can be achieved as soon as possible." Yang also said it is important to "straighten out the historical context of the Ukraine issue, get to the bottom of the problem's origin, and respond to the legitimate concerns of all parties." The wording Yang used changed slightly from Foreign Minister Wang Yi's comments in late February, when he specifically said China understands "Russia's" legitimate concerns on security issues."


While in the North, China decides -as in the 80s and 90s- whether their power should tilt towards "state-capitalism" (statal yes, but capitalism at last) or turn into the collusion of players supporting the expansion of global totalitarianism (and WWIII), in America, things are not different from what we saw during the 80s.


The scenario in America has still Cuba and Nicaragua playing together with Russia, but you have to count on the twist that Venezuela is having, as a key country that has reacted positively to the continental diplomacy (coming from the USA) with specific declarations that stop Putin's idea of converting the country in a military base, as they pretended to do with Cuba in the 50s and 60s of the last century.


China is a big player now and can bridge its walk to become THE player. All that will be helped by Russia, which most probably will diminish its power after the sad Putin´s adventure.


China knows that they still need the West to grow and get strong. They need investment, markets, and partners, and also understand that a WWIII would probably end with their regime under the real threat of stagnation. China cannot play the global stagnation game, and will probably play a role as a pacifier, and the USA and Europe know that.


Meanwhile, they continue to bet on keeping silent, but keep also advancing: https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/03/14/china-latin-america-military-pla-infrastructure-ports-colombia/

"The fallout of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues to reverberate around the world, including in Latin America and the Caribbean. During his meeting with Colombian President Iván Duque last week, U.S. President Joe Biden commended Colombia for condemning Russian President Vladimir Putin’s actions and announced that the United States would designate Colombia as a major non-NATO ally. This means one more Latin American partner in the fight to counter Russian global influence, especially as Russia strengthens its ties with authoritarian regimes in Venezuela, Cuba, and Nicaragua. But there is also a longer-term strategic threat facing the United States and its Latin American and Caribbean partners: China’s growing presence in the region and, in particular, its military presence."



The situation in Latin America and Colombia could -however- change, as it changed in Chile, with leaders formed in the former URSS gaining democratic power: https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/colombians-vote-presidential-primaries-legislative-contest-2022-03-13/

"In the Historic Pact primary, Petro won more than 80% - some 3.5 million votes - with around 80% of precincts reporting. Gutierrez won more than 54% - some 1.7 million ballots - in the primary for a coalition representing a sector of Colombia's right-wing, with about 80% counted.

The contest for the centrist grouping was much closer. Fajardo, a mathematician, won just under 33% - or close to 590,000 votes - with 80% counted.

Voters also cast ballots for 108 senator and 187 lower house seats.

Colombia's congress has been split amongst myriad parties in recent elections, forcing presidents to build big-tent coalitions in order to pass legislation. Complete legislative results are expected on Monday...

Petro lost to Duque - whose term ends in August - in the second round the 2018 presidential election.

Some voters at a polling place in the south of capital city Bogota told Reuters they voted for Petro, also a former senator, in the hopes of seeing job creation.

"I want us to have more work, for it to be easier to get a formal job," said unemployed Petro backer Alberto Lopez, 31. Others said an eventual centrist victory could help counteract polarization."


While that happens in Colombia, Chile has mentioned the abandonment of the idea of following a totalitarian path (as President Boric has declared in a TV program with Mario Kreutzberger this week):

(100 minutes video)


During the coming 100 days, Chile will test if the country abandons external influences that see in the country a game-changer to the old equilibrium in the region during the last Century.


Peru, for example, has received the economic influence of Chile and has developed a market-oriented economy that -regardless of the fact of the election of Pedro Castillo, a leftist President- seems to be strong enough to use the institutionality as a means for protecting the established equilibrium against a different alignment:


"March 14 (Reuters) — Peru’s Congress on Monday approved the start of impeachment proceedings against President Pedro Castillo over allegations of corruption after failing to gather enough votes in a previous attempt in December. The opposition-led Congress voted 76-41 to begin the political trial. To dismiss Castillo following the impeachment trial, lawmakers will eventually need 87 votes. Castillo or his lawyer must attend Congress on March 28 and present their defense before lawmakers debate and have a final vote on the impeachment. In a speech at a public event on Monday, Castillo said he would go to Congress on Tuesday to deliver a message about “what we are doing, and to say what we will do, for this nation”.

Leftist Castillo has seen his popularity plunge to 26% since taking office in July, according to an Ipsos poll released over the weekend. Lawmakers are zeroing in on the testimony of a lobbyist who has alleged to prosecutors that Castillo engaged in irregular acts. The attempt to oust Castillo is promoted mainly by three right-wing parties, including Popular Force, led by former presidential candidate Keiko Fujimori, who lost last year’s elections to Castillo. The opposition alleges that Castillo, who denies the accusations, is morally unfit to govern."


Chile has a "TIC-TOC" process in the way (see video, minutes 10 to 13), the same as does Peru turning and returning over one President after the other, the same as Ecuador did in the past. Political instability is likely to be the very same process that -most probably- will happen -at the end of the day- in Colombia if the country becomes effectively the key NATO ally in The Americas.


While the countries of the Pacific Alliance play their part in the Continental Game and have to navigate over the red ocean of power, Ecuador will probably enter a final step in its process of consolidation of its Dollarization: https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:6909232164857352192/

Ecuador will play together with Chile, as President Lasso mentioned last week in Santiago, in the Economy, and the two countries will keep collaborating, as the Ministers of Foreign Policy mentioned at SOFOFA, as a policy of the two States, with full independence of the ideological orientation of their governments over time, as it has been during a couple of centuries.


During the political crises of Colombia and Peru with active terrorist cells acting in their territories, Chile and Ecuador played together, but while Chile had a dictatorship in development until 1990, Ecuador kept a pacific process inside but war with Peru in the outside.


By the end of the 90s, Ecuador signed the definitive peace agreement with Peru, and at the beginning of the 2000s, Ecuador Dollarized it's economy. Until 2017, Ecuador developed its own revolution, and now enjoys Peace with its neighbors, Democracy in the interior, Stability in the markets, and Rights in the Social Arena.


Ecuador is now an Island of PEACE (Politics, Economics, Associativity, Culture, and Environment) and from that, the country will continue thriving for creating a model state in 4-D: Descentralized, Dollarized, Democratic, and Dialogue-oriented.


The leadership in America will follow that path because that is the "Plus" in its DNA as a race, a territory, and a land of opportunities. The Median Voter will send orders and elect politicians that serve that ultimate PEACE regional objective.


The Ecuadorian leadership has prevailed over the years with that PEACEful orientation, and we are sure that the Ecuadorean case will illuminate the resemblance with what Ecuador has learnt in the past from Chile, Peru, and Colombia.


The togetherness that the geo-political scenario imposes as a deeply-rooted conviction in South-American Communities that has its opportunity for creating unity in diversity, is what will allow a regional column where the center will be set among USA-Ecuador-Chile in the North, the Equinox, and the South Cone, for advancing strong from America to the World for talking with China with the APEC alliance for creating the World State of PEACE that WE ALL want and PRAY for.


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